India's GDP may average 7.2 pc over next 5 yrs

India's real GDP growth will average at 7.2 per cent over the next five years even as risks to the global economy continue to remain high, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has said.



The world's second-fastest growing economy may also see negative inflation for the next 3-6 months triggering expectation of rate cuts by banks, the research arm of London-based Economist added.

"Emerging Asia will be the world's fastest-growing region over the next five years (2010-13), but this mainly reflects a relatively strong growth performance by India and China. The EIU expects India's real GDP growth to average 7.2 per cent over the next five years," it said.

Global share prices have been boosted on expectations that the worst of the global economic meltdown is over, however, a sustainable recovery is distant, it maintained.

There may be more green shoots of recovery in the global economy as fiscal and monetary stimulus packages start to have an impact, but "growth over the next two years will be marked by a high degree of volatility", Vohra said. There will be a substantial slowdown in quarter-on- quarter growth rates once the stimulus fades, he added.

courtesy economictimes