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Thursday, June 25, 2009

Deflation is not a threat for India

India is not threatened by a deflation spiral that could derail economic development, the economic intelligence arm of global rating agency Moody's said today.

"Deflation is generally unwelcome by policymakers as it encourages consumers to delay purchases and businesses to postpone investment, which would eventually hurt GDP growth," Sherman Chan, an economist with Moody's Economy.com said.

"Lower prices may in fact boost consumption volumes, especially in poor regions. Meanwhile, cheaper input costs may also present a good opportunity to speed up construction of much needed infrastructure," Chan addded.

For the first time since the new wholesale price index (WPI) series started in 1995, India's annual rate of inflation has turned negative, falling to minus 1.61 percent for the week ended June 6. This has led to fears that this would lead to hoarding of food articles and a consequent rise in prices.

The inflation rate, which was 0.13 percent in the previous week, had last turned negative in 1977.

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