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Friday, August 14, 2009

Economy Updates - Forex reserves at $271.239 billion down YoY

India's foreign exchange reserves fell for the week ended August 7 to $271.239 billion compared to $271.641 billion in the year-ago period.

India's gold reserves and special drawing rights (SDR), during the week, stood unchanged at $9.671 billion and $1-million respectively, the central bank said.

India's reserve position in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) marginally rose to $1.348 billion compared to $1.338 billion in the previous week, RBI said.

Reserves had risen by $3.930 billion for the week ended July 31, compared to $267.711 billion in the previous week.

Foreign currency assets, during the week, fell to $260.219 billion, against $260.631 billion in the previous week, RBI said in its weekly report.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Inflation at 1.74 percent YoY

The wholesale price index (WPI) is forecast to have fallen 1.74 per cent in the 12 months to August 1, steeper than the previous week's decline of 1.58 per cent, a poll showed on Wednesday.

It would be the ninth straight annual fall in the wholesale price based index, but this is widely seen as a statistical effect caused by sharply higher prices a year earlier.

The index has been rising on a weekly basis since March and analysts said it probably climbed in the week ended Aug. 1, mainly due to rising food prices.

The central bank has also said price pressures are building up, suggesting there was little chance for rate cuts. Weak monsoon rains are also expected to put upward pressure on prices.

source - economictimes

Monday, August 10, 2009

Indian Economy to grow at 7.8 percent in 2009-10

India's economy will likely grow at 7.8 per cent in fiscal year 2010/11, higher than a previous forecast of 6.6 per cent due to an improved investment outlook, better external environment and a recovery in consumption demand, Goldman Sachs said in a note on Monday.

But it kept its growth estimate for the current year ending March 2010 at 5.8 per cent citing a poor monsoon and the follow-on negative impact on rural demand in the near-term.

Goldman's fiscal year target for wholesale price index-based inflation as of end-FY10 is 6.5 per cent with an upside risk, and expects the central bank to tighten policy rates by 300 basis points in calendar year 2010.