Inflation at -1.3% for week june 13 - june 20

India's wholesale price index fell 1.3 percent in the 12 months to June 20, compared with the previous week's annual decline of 1.14 percent, government data showed on Thursday.

The fall was marginally smaller than a median forecast of a 1.35 percent fall, according to a Reuters poll.

The annual inflation rate was 11.91 percent during the corresponding week of 2008.

The wholesale price index is more closely watched than the consumer price index, which is published monthly, because it covers a higher number of products and is released weekly.

Budget session 2009-10 starts

Budget session for fiscal year 2009-2010 started today and Mamta Banerjee (trinamool congress) will present the railway budget after 9 years, and looks like she is all set to present a people friendly budget,

The buzz is that one can expect passenger amenities to figure high on her rail budget platter with mention of affordable, economic 'janta' food being available at key stations across the Indian Railways system.

Ms Banerjee is likely to favour more public private partnerships (PPPs) to boost growth in railway infrastructure. Pending projects will receive special attention. The rail coach factory at Rae Bareli will receive the minister’s attention. More significantly, the ambitious Dedicated Freight Corridor Project will be taken up on a serious note.

There is also a lot of expectation in Kolkata that the city's iconic Howrah station may get a fresh boost as part of Railways' bid to convert it into a world class station. New Delhi and Patna stations too are also on the initial list of 22 stations that will be converted into world class stations by the Railways, a move that was initiated by Lalu Prasad. There is speculation that Sealdah too will be included this year.

Next week finance minister pranab mukherjee would present Union finance budget for fiscal year 2009-10

Govt of India approves India-Korea trade pact

The government today approved signing of a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with South Korea paving the way for an eventual duty free trade of goods and services between the two countries.

The approval was granted by the Union Cabinet at its meeting presided over by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.

Briefing reporters after the Cabinet meeting, Information and Broadcasting Minister Ambika Soni said,"India's exclusion and sensitive lists includes agriculture, textile and auto components."

She said while South Korea's offer to break duty barriers include items of India's export interest, New Delhi has taken enough care to protect its sensitive industries and the farm sector.

The CEPA comprises six agreements relating to opening up of trade in goods, services and customs, and trade facilitation.

Signing trade pacts with South Korea and Association of South East Asian Nation (ASEAN) are part of the 100-day agenda of the UPA government in its second term.

The CEPA negotiations had started in March 2006 and was concluded in September 2008.

courtesy economictimes

Indian economy account deficit becomes thinner at 1.3 percent

Here is good news for all the indian,s - India's current account deficit this fiscal is likely to narrow down to 1.3 per cent of GDP as the trade gap shrinks and FDI inflows pick up on the back of positive election mandate.

In 2008-09, the current account deficit was 2.6 per cent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP) at $29.8 billion, against $17 billion a year ago.

Goldman Sachs said the deficit is lower than their expectation of 3.5 per cent, mainly due to rapid fall in imports in the January-March quarter of 2008-09.

The firm also said that domestic demand and its expectations of the output gap closing rapidly, are likely to support a strengthening rupee.

India's external debt at $ 230 billion

India's external debt rose 2.4 per cent or $5.3 billion to $229.9 billion for the fiscal ended March 31, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Tuesday.

India, which has an external debt equivalent to 22 per cent of its gross domestic product, was already the fifth most indebted country in the world in 2007, the central bank said in a statement.
The current account - which includes components like external trade deficit and remittances from overseas - had a deficit of $29.82 billion for last fiscal, compared to a deficit of $17.03 billion in the previous period.

The capital account - which comprises items like foreign investment, external loans and foreign assistance - had a surplus of $9.15 billion for 2008-09 compared to a surplus of $107.94 billion in the year-ago period.

Goods & Service tax can fill govt pockets by $15 billion

India could gain $15 billion a year by implementing the Goods and Service Tax (GST) as it would boost exports, raise employment and spur growth, the head of a government panel said on Monday.

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee is expected to lay a roadmap for the launch of the ambitious tax reform in his budget speech next Monday. It is expected to be implemented across the country from April, 2010.

The new tax system, which will replace all major central and state taxes, is expected to lower tax rates by broadening the tax base and minimise exemptions, Vijay Kelkar, Chairman, of the 13th Finance Commission said.

Kelkar said implementation of GST had raised Canada's GDP by 1.4 per cent and would help India redistribute the tax burden equitably between manufacturing and services.

"In India we can expect a similar kind of positive impact. This means gains of about $15 billion annually," he was quoted as saying in speech, a copy of which was made available by the finance ministry.

The panel, which has been set up to determine the devolution of federal taxes to states for five years, is expected to submit its report soon.

Referring to opposition to GST by some state governments, Kelkar said the panel could provide a compensation package to states and help speed up the implementation of a "flawless" GST.

Deflation is not a threat for India

India is not threatened by a deflation spiral that could derail economic development, the economic intelligence arm of global rating agency Moody's said today.

"Deflation is generally unwelcome by policymakers as it encourages consumers to delay purchases and businesses to postpone investment, which would eventually hurt GDP growth," Sherman Chan, an economist with Moody's Economy.com said.

"Lower prices may in fact boost consumption volumes, especially in poor regions. Meanwhile, cheaper input costs may also present a good opportunity to speed up construction of much needed infrastructure," Chan addded.

For the first time since the new wholesale price index (WPI) series started in 1995, India's annual rate of inflation has turned negative, falling to minus 1.61 percent for the week ended June 6. This has led to fears that this would lead to hoarding of food articles and a consequent rise in prices.

The inflation rate, which was 0.13 percent in the previous week, had last turned negative in 1977.

Where does Indian Metro's stand in reality NOWHERE !!

Just came for surfing on net after a day long tedious job... really software job is too blood sucking.... net surfing act as a Rejuvenation factor for me saw a link showing top 25 cities to live in.. looks kind of weird as a person living in a remote place but doesnot require anything from rest of world is by far the luckiest person and that place is the best place to live in.

We'll saw the list for some top 20 spots and then closed the link as couldn't find a single indian metro city in whole list forget about tier two cities of the country felt bad as lot of homework still needs to be done if we want any of our metro cities in the prestigious list (i am giving priority to Metro's as the tier 2 cities will follow), The infrastructure however still lies pathetic but after analyzing the last 5 years i can say that a lot of good has happened and next 20 years or so may be bangalore or New Delhi will figure in the list i am not very sure about the other metro's like mumbai and kolkata, The list of top 25 best places to live was majorly covering the european cities but may be 20 years from now we might see some of indian cities name in the list if not many. so i thought to show the list to the readers here it is :

1 - ZURICH

2 - COPENHAGEN

3 - TOKYO

4 - MUNICH

5 - HELSINKI

6 - STOCKHOLM

7 - VIENNA

8 - PARIS

9 - MELBOURNE

10 - BERLIN

11 - HONOLULU

12 - MADRID

13 - SYDNEY

14 - VANCOUVER

15 - BARCELONA

16 - FUKUOKA

17 - OSLO

18 - SINGAPORE

19 - MONTREAL

20 - AUCKLAND

23 - AMSTERDAM

24 - GENEVA

25 - LISBON

India's April fiscal deficit at $11 billion

India's fiscal deficit in April was at 541.58 billion rupees ($11 billion), or 16.3 percent of the full-year target, the government said in a statement on Tuesday. Tax receipts were at 74.62 billion rupees while expenditure were at 662.17 billion rupees for the first month of 2009/10 fiscal year.

India's GDP may average 7.2 pc over next 5 yrs

India's real GDP growth will average at 7.2 per cent over the next five years even as risks to the global economy continue to remain high, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has said.



The world's second-fastest growing economy may also see negative inflation for the next 3-6 months triggering expectation of rate cuts by banks, the research arm of London-based Economist added.

"Emerging Asia will be the world's fastest-growing region over the next five years (2010-13), but this mainly reflects a relatively strong growth performance by India and China. The EIU expects India's real GDP growth to average 7.2 per cent over the next five years," it said.

Global share prices have been boosted on expectations that the worst of the global economic meltdown is over, however, a sustainable recovery is distant, it maintained.

There may be more green shoots of recovery in the global economy as fiscal and monetary stimulus packages start to have an impact, but "growth over the next two years will be marked by a high degree of volatility", Vohra said. There will be a substantial slowdown in quarter-on- quarter growth rates once the stimulus fades, he added.

courtesy economictimes

Indian Economy is resistant to ongoing recession

Economic recession has effected almost all of the major economies of the world whether developed or developing, economies which don't have strong fundamentals are effected the most like the US economy(which happens to be the largest economy of the world presently). So what has made indian economy safer even in these tough times?

Also Read :
-Indian Elections Updates
-BRIC countries stabilising world economy
-Highest paid CEO's of world
-America's Top 20 CEO's ever list
-How Infosys managed to increase YoY profit
-Effect of Recession on Indian Economy
-Economies hit by recession


According to me it's the government's hold on the economy in place and the good thing about indian government is that it takes a very conservative approach because it keeps people's interest on high priority and consider the ill effects of one economic decision rather then talking about the corresponding positives this has acted as a firewall from the ongoing economic crises which is biggest after the 1929 great depression which i read in my history book in tenth grade.

It may be noted that still in india government has a very strong hold on the economic activities ( a lot of restrictions were removed in the 90's when Manmohan singh was Finance minister under PV Narsimha Rao government) had it been still like early 90's indian economy would have been completly shielded from the crises but an economy can rise only if it takes off some of restrictions and let the business congloramates go beyond the physical boundaries and compete globally as majority of indian companies are currently doing that's very good according to me.

If Indian government had lifted all of the retrictions in 90's no doubt our economy would have been much bigger today but would have been as affected as USA presently with pink slips all around and companies following hire and fire policies huh...thank god Manmohan Singh was there to think about it at that time...really SINGH is KING!!

The point described above by me is made clear by following figures that in the month of May itself we had $2 billion of FII money into our country, this is because of the stability and strength of the Indian economy, which is reassuring to the Indian investor.

Also Read :
-Indian Elections Updates
-BRIC countries stabilising world economy
-Highest paid CEO's of world
-America's Top 20 CEO's ever list
-How Infosys managed to increase YoY profit
-Effect of Recession on Indian Economy
-Economies hit by recession


ok now i am logging off will keep you guys updated in next post coming soon

- Himanshu Sharma

Govt may remove FBT & Service tax on exporters

Removal of Fringe Benefit Tax(FBT) and service tax exemption for exporters in the Budget are under active consideration of the Finance Ministry, a highly placed official said.

Commerce Secretary Rahul Khullar today met Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla and is believed to have pressed for several fiscal incentives for exporters, who are suffering due to the ongoing recession in major markets.

India's exports have been contracting for the last seven months in a row, costing millions of jobs in labour oriented sectors like gems and jewellery and textiles, industry estimates suggest. In 2008-09, exports grew by a meager 3.4 per cent to USD 168.7 billion.

Khullar met Chawla a day after he had a meeting with a delegation of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations.

The exporters have been demanding removal of the FBT on the ground that the business promotion expenses should not be treated as fringe benefits and should not be taxed.

The other major demands, including outright removal of service tax on exporters, is also under consideration of the government, the official said.

At present exporters get reimbursement for the service tax but it involves several procedural hassles. They want total removal of this tax.

courtesy - economictimes

PM says Indian economy faced crises very well

Returning home after attending the summits of Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and Brazil-Russia-India-China (BRIC), where the global financial crisis was the main theme, Singh said there was a need for reforming the present systems of global governance and international financial system.

He hoped the BRIC would not remain a "talk-shop" and the member countries would work together so that their voice is heard in the global arena.

"We live in times of rapid economic changes when the BRIC economies are a factor of stability and growth," Singh told accompanying journalists while returning from Yekaterinburg in Russia.

"India has borne the global economic crisis well, though we have not been unaffected," he said.

Talking about the BRIC Summit, he said the leaders discussed the need to intensify cooperation among the four nations and international economic downturn and how to prepare for the forthcoming G-8 and G-20 Summits.

INR falls 39 paise against US $

Indian rupee closed above the crucial 48 level against the dollar for the first time in five weeks in tandem with a sharp slide in local stocks, raising fears of capital outflow from equity.

Resuming lower at 47.84/85 a dollar, the domestic unit later moved in a range of 48.16 and 47.81 before ending the day at 48.13/14 against the dollar, cheaper by 39 paise from its last close of 47.74/75 a dollar.

Dealers at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market said continued capital outflows in the week weighed on rupee sentiment.

Foreign institutional investors pulled out nearly USD 193.60 million in the last two days. They were believed to be heavy sellers in equity today.

The Indian benchmark Sensex plunged by 435 points or 2.91 per cent following dramatic sell-off by foreign funds.

Meanwhile, the dollar, which was buoyant in the overseas market in the last few days, was little changed against the basket of currencies.

BRIC's maiden summit to discuss about economic crises

Leaders of Russia, China, India and Brazil will discuss the reform of international financial institutions at their debut summit on Tuesday in the Russian city of Yekaterinburg.

It said in a statement that the four countries, known by the BRIC acronym, would discuss "prospects for dialogue between the Group of Eight and traditional partners" on reform ahead of the G8 summit in Italy in early July.

BRIC countries want to increase their representation in the IMF, where the majority of quotas are currently controlled by developed nations. They are aiming for an agreement on IMF reforms by January 2011. Russia currently has 2.7 per cent of IMF votes, and is unlikely to see its quota increased even under a proposed reform. China holds 3.7 per cent, Brazil 1.4 per cent and India 1.9 per cent.

BRIC states are trying to strengthen their clout as the producers of 15 per cent of global gross domestic product by building up the grouping into a powerful world player. The Kremlin said the four will issue a communique after the summit.
The four are also among the world's seven biggest holders of international reserves. They have expressed worries about the economic stimulus programs in developed nations, fearing they may threaten their savings by driving up future inflation.
Kremlin foreign policy adviser Sergei Prikhodko said on Sunday that BRIC countries were unlikely to discuss a new reserve currency but the reform of the IMF is closely linked to the currency discussion.
China said it is willing to contribute up to $50 billion to the IMF through a purchase of IMF bonds, non-tradable securities which will likely be denominated in the IMF's Special Drawing Rights (SDRs).
Brazil and Russia said they will buy $10 billion each. The debt issue will boost the role of SDRs in international finance.
The statement said the four will also discuss a response to the economic crisis and exchange views on international policy issues, including regional crises, the fight against terrorism, energy and food security.
BRIC will also discuss further steps aimed at "strengthening collective and legal foundations in global policy." The Kremlin said the communique will "reflect common vision of the current stage of global development."

courtesy economictimes