Rs v/s US $ - November 2008 - daily updates

Indian economy trends are very important for those who are into economic analysis in India, Indian National rupee popularly known as INR in international market is following a downward trend due to global financial turbulance. As volume of US dollars (USD) in international markets is on a decline so the value of US $ is growing up, well indian IT industrycan feel better to some extent and is the only industry which would be getting a plus from current market scenario.

The post would include (US$ v/$ rupee) daily trends the rate shown of Indian rupee would be as displayed at time of stock markets closure(mainly BSE and NSE) you can also see daily Stock market live rates and closing rates.

INR(Indian National rupee) v/s US$ November trends/updates are as follows:

format for display of rs v/s $ would be in following order:
(date RS v/s $ rate Daily trends updates Remarks with respect to US $)

(November 28,2008) | RS v/s $ | 49.85 | Up^0.12 | grew stronger by 12 paise/US $

(November 25,2008) | RS v/s $ | 50.09 | Down(-0.06) | weaker by 6 paise/US$

(November 24,2008) | RS v/s $ | 50.03 | Up^0.49 | grew stronger by 0.49 paise

(November 21,2008) | RS v/s $ | 50.52 | Down(-0.78) | weaker by 78 paise/US$

(November 20,2008) | RS v/s $ | 49.74 | Down(-0.06) | weaker by 06 paise/US$

(November 19,2008) | RS v/s $ | 49.68 | Down(-0.69) | weaker by 69 paise/US$

(November 18,2008) | RS v/s $ | 48.99 | Up^0.47 | grew stronger by 0.47 paise

(November 17,2008) | RS v/s $ | 49.46 | Up^0.67 | grew stronger by 0.67 paise

(November 14,2008) | RS v/s $ | 48.79 | - | No change wrto previous day

(November 13,2008) | RS v/s $ | 48.79 | Down(-1.20) | weaker by 120 paise/US$

(November 12,2008) | RS v/s $ | 47.59 | Down(-0.27) | weaker by 27 paise

(November 11,2008) | RS v/s $ | 47.32 | Up^0.44 | grew stronger by 0.44 paise

(November 7,2008) | RS v/s $ | 47.68 | Down(-0.50) | weaker by 50 paise

(November 6,2008) | RS v/s $ | 47.18 | Up^1.44 | grew stronger by 144 paise

(November 5,2008) | RS v/s $ | 48.62 | Up^0.34 | grew stronger by o.34 paise

(November 4,2008) | RS v/s $ | 48.96 | Up^0.29 | Rupee became stronger by 2%

(November 3,2008) | RS v/s $ | 49.25 |Up^0.00 | No change

Also see:
October 2008 Rs v/s US $ trends

US has vital stake in India's rise as a global power

Describing India as an emerging "global power" and an "ally," US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice says Washington has a "vital" stake in New Delhi's rise.

"India stands on the front lines of globalisation. This democratic nation promises to become a global power and an ally in shaping an international order rooted in freedom and the rule of law," Rice says after noting that Indo-US relations have experienced a "dramatic breakthrough" during the eight years of Bush Administration.

"...the United States has a vital stake in India's rise to global power and prosperity, and relations between the two countries have never been stronger or broader," Rice says in an article in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs magazine published by Council on Foreign Relations, a Washington think-tank.

"It will take continued work, but this is a dramatic breakthrough for both our strategic interests and our values," she says.

Penning her thoughts on foreign policy pursued by the George W Bush administration during the last eight years, Rice says Washington has placed importance to building strong relations with existing global players as well as emerging.

With those, particularly India and Brazil, the United States has built deeper and broader ties, she says.

On Brazil, she says the country's success at using democracy and markets to address centuries of pernicious social inequality has global resonance.

"Today, India and Brazil look outward as never before, secure in their ability to compete and succeed in the global economy.

"In both countries, national interests are being redefined as Indians and Brazilians realise their direct stake in a democratic, secure, and open international order -- and their commensurate responsibilities for strengthening it and defending it against the major transnational challenges of our era," Rice says.

The terror attacks on the US on September 11, 2001 was similar to the attack on Pearl Harbour in 1941, which fundamentally changed the world, she says.

"We were called to lead with a new urgency and with a new perspective on what constituted threats and what might emerge as opportunities. And as with previous strategic shocks, one can cite elements of both continuity and change in our foreign policy since the attacks of September 11."

"What has not changed is that our relations with traditional and emerging great powers still matter to the successful conduct of policy. Thus, my admonition in 2000 that we should seek to get right the "relationships with the big powers" -- Russia, China, and emerging powers such as India and Brazil -- has consistently guided us," Rice says.

Washington's alliances in the Americas, Europe, and Asia remain the pillars of the international order, she says, adding that the Bush administration was now transforming them to meet the challenges of a new era.

"In this strategic environment, it is vital to our national security that states be willing and able to meet the full range of their sovereign responsibilities, both beyond their borders and within them. This new reality has led us to some significant changes in our policy.

"We recognise that democratic state building is now an urgent component of our national interest," she said adding that in the broader Middle East, the US recognises that freedom and democracy are the only ideas that can, over time, lead to just and lasting stability, especially in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Indian Economy - Rupee v/s US $ daily trends - April 2008

Daily rupee trends against US $ date wise for april 2008 (at stock market closing time):

24/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.95 - Down(-0.01)

19/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.96 - Down(-0.17)

17/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.79 - Up^0.16

16/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.95 - Down(-0.11)

15/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.84 - (No change)

14/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.84 - Up^0.10

11/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.94 - Down(-0.10)

10/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.84 - Up^0.18

9/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 40.02 - Up^0.09

8/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 40.11 - Down(-0.14)

7/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.97 - Up^0.06 (wrt 6/4/08 rates)

4/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.97 - Up^0.11

3/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 40.08 - Down(-0.09)

2/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.99 - Down(-0.02)

1/4/2008 : (Rs v/s US $) - 39.97 - Up^0.14

Indian Economy Updates Rs v/s $ daily trends - March 2008

Daily rupee trends against US $ month wise (at stock market closing time):

31/3/2008:(Rs v/s US $) 40.11 - (Up^0.04) - with respect to 28/3/2008 rate

28/3/2008:(Rs v/s US $) 40.15 - (Down -0.08)

27/3/2008:(Rs v/s US $) 40.07 - (Up^0.05)

26/3/2008:(Rs v/s US $) 40.12 - (Up^0.22)

25/3/2008:( Rs v/s US $) 40.34 - (Down -0.05)

24/3/2008:( Rs v/s US $) 40.29 - (Up^0.16)

19/3/2008:( Rs v/s US $) 40.62 - (Up^0.15)

18/3/2008:( Rs v/s US $) 40.77 - (Down -0.32)

17/3/2008:( Rs v/s US $) 40.45 - (Up^0.01)

Indian Budget Projections shattered by US economic recession

Indian budget projections are likely to be shattered by the slowdown in US economy or probably it's recession and government has to make new projections keeping the condition of US economic changes in mind becoz indian economy is governed more or less by US economy, CPI(M) on Saturday demanded immediate halt to futures trading in all essential commodities to contain inflation and corrective measures for the stability of the rupee.

"In order to check speculation and inflation, futures trading must be stopped in all essential commodities though the government has removed pulses, wheat and rice from the purview of forward market due to our pressure," CPI-M Politburo member Sitaram Yechury described.

Stating that the US has officially admitted that its economy was going through rough times, he said, recession, falling value of Dollar and growing unemployment in America would have adverse impact on India and the government must initiate corrective measures to tackle the situation.

Observing that Rupee has appreciated by 13 per cent during the past one year, he said decline in exports and manufacturing sector coupled with badly hit IT and textile sectors would cause considerable loss of jobs.

He said that such a situation has put the projections in the union budget into uncertainties.

It may also be noticed that CPI(M) are also against the nuclear deal and want the indian government to abundan it, they are organising a meeting to discuss the Indo-American nuclear deal on 17th of this month in delhi with government officials.

US Economy Slowdown and it's effects on Indian Economy

A string of foreign banks hit by the crisis have started selling down Indian papers in the overseas market at distressed rates. In some cases, banks have refused to honour credit lines they had earlier promised. But even as corporates are reeling under the increased financing costs for their deals, some Indian banks are picking up these papers at distressed rates.One of the assets, which a few foreign banks are in a haste to sell down, is the Hindalco bridge loan, which the company had taken to acquire the Canadian firm Novelis.

Banks, which gave the loan at 61 bps above Libor, are now in the market to sell it at Libor plus 150-180 bps. Banks want to offload papers before December 31 to free their capital. Such loans, primarily for acquisition financing, are given directly by the banks, with an internal understanding that the assets would be palmed off over the next two to three months. However, because of the sub prime crisis, many of these banks were unable to get any buyer for the Indian papers. This has resulted in banks offering to sell these papers at a cheaper price. Banks have country limits and also client limits. Some banks have exceeded these limits and due to the liquidity crunch are finding it difficult to sell down these assets to other foreign banks. This has given a few Indian banks the opportunity to buy these papers.

Significantly, most foreign banks are not adding to their asset book in order to keep capital free. According to sources, a large US bank has stopped issuing letters of credit to Indian customers. It has also stopped disbursing loans to new customers. Bank officials have been told to postpone disbursals till the New Year. The urgency to prune corporate loans emanate from similar capital concerns. A couple of other corporate loans have also been sold off in the past couple of months at 15-25 bps discounts. Recently, in a deal where an Indian chemical firm was taking over an US company, the foreign bank backed out of the financing deal at the last moment. The deal was finally financed by another foreign bank.

A major US bank and a couple of European banks are said to be have been affected by the crisis. According to senior bankers, Indian banks, like ICICI Bank and SBI, have been picking up papers issued by Indian companies. A few Taiwanese and Middle East banks have also been buying these papers. However, ICICI Bank which did large dollar borrowing this year has committed new loans of around $2 billion in the past one month. Corporates are also facing the heat as borrowing costs have doubled in the past few months. Bankers point out that in many transactions, Indian corporates have now started asking Indian banks to be in the deal as they feel that some foreign banks may back out if credit woes deepen.

Source: economic times

Rupee v/s Dollar January 2008 Trends

Day/Date/Conversion Price(1 dollar in INR)/Remarks: (All enteries would be in same sequence respectively):

THURSDAY/31-01-2008/39.43/ Down 0.03 ( at 5:42 pm IST)

WEDNESDAY/30-01-2008/39.40/ Up^0.07 ( at 8:31 pm IST)

TUESDAY/29-01-2008/39.47/ Down 0.07 (at stock market close)

MONDAY/28-01-2008/39.40/ Up^0.03 (at stock market closing time)

26-01-2008, 27-01-2008 (Markets closed saturday and sunday resp.)

FRIDAY/25-01-2008/39.43/ Up^0.13 (at stock market closing time)

THURSDAY/24-01-2008/39.56/ Down 0.18 (at stock market closing time)

WEDNESDAY/23-01-2008/39.38/ No Change (at stock market closing time)

TUESDAY/22-01-2008/39.38/ Down 0.11 (at stock market closing time)

MONDAY/21-01-2008/39.27/ up ^0.02 (at stock market closing time)

FRIDAY/18-01-2008/39.29/ Down 0.02 (at stock market closing time)

THURSDAY/17-01-2008/39.27/ No Change (at stock market closing time)

WEDNESDAY/16-01-2008/39.27/ up ^0.02 (at stock market closing time)

TUESDAY/15-01-2008/39.29/ No Change (at stock market closing time)

MONDAY/14-01-2008/39.29/ No Change ( at stock market closing time)

FRIDAY/11-01-2008/39.29/ No Change (at stock market closing time)

THURSDAY/10-01-2008/39.29/ Down 0.02 (at stock market closing time)

WEDNESDAY/9-01-2008/39.27/ up ^0.01 (at stock market closing time)

TUESDAY/8-01-2008/39.28/ up ^0.04 (at stock market closing time)

MONDAY/7-01-2008/ 39.32/ no change (at stock market closing time)

SATURDAY/5-01-2008/39.32/ up ^0.13 (at stock market closing time)

FRIDAY/4-01-2008/39.45/ Down - 0.02 (at stock market closing time)

THURSDAY/3-01-2008/39.43/ Down - 0.01 (at stock market closing time)

WEDNESDAY/2-01-2008/39.42/ up ^0.01 (at stock market closing time)

Annual India Economy Update (January 2007-January 2008)

Annual India Economy Update: well all the readers of this post would be surprised about the time duration of this annual India Economy Update as it is not based on Financial year which starts in India in March every year but rather it is based on the US financial year which begins in January and ends in december every year on the new year and is according to the Earth's revolutions around sun.

Economy of India in past 1 year has grown at around 8.7% this year which is very healthy rate but is behind the economy growth rate of China which stands at around 11% for same period.

India Economy's growth rate in 2007 remained lower when compared to the growth rate of the previous year but the stock markets remained in constant bull run through out the year with both sensex and Nifty touching new highs. Bombay Stock Exchange managed to rank itself in top 10 stock markets of world in market capitalisation.

Foreign Investors showed a lot of trust in Indian rupee and hence the foreign direct investments reached a new record this year and the trend would continue for next couple of years too.

Indian rupee grew at around 5% in 2007 and hence a lot of exporters were affected as they did not do proper hedging of dollar for minimising the impact of the deteriorating dollar.

Slowdown in US Economy V/S Boom in India Economy

From past couple of years their has been a gradual slowdown in the economy of US. There are certain reasons for the slowdown of US Economy. With the growth of economies of Asian countries like China and India .Economy of US has a serious threat as these two asian countries have grown at a decent pace in past four to five years while at the same time the economy of US has shown a slowdown. The subprime mortagage crises occuring in US has made several mortagage companies bankrupt and hence looking into the matter the president of US Mr. George W Bush has recently decreased the rate of interest for mortagage facilities available to the people of US. It's now clearly evident that the government of US has started feeling the heat of the slowdown in it's economy. Recently a mortagage services client of indian company Infosys declared itself short of funde i.e bankrupt and had no money to pay to Infosys for the period of time . There were around 250 customer executives working for the mortagage services company in Infosys found there client bankrupt and hence they all had to be shifted to other process hence the subprime crises of US mortagage companies has started affecting the job oppurunities not only in US but also in countries like india where the processes of these banks have been outsourced. hence Slowdown in the economy of US have forced many software companies of US to outsource more and more work outside US in countries like India.

Software jobs in US are also on a decline due to the stagnation in economy. Many US based software companies have all ready opened their development centers in India as carrying business for them in US itself has become less profitable while in India their profit margins are decent and they further can outsource their projects to Indian companies. Boom in Indian Economy has helped India in reducing it's import bills drastically. with the present rate of US dollar equivalent to ~ 39.50 INR and still decreasing further. Time is not far when the economy of Indian would become major Economy of World.

Economists have predicted that if Indian Economy Grows at the Same pace as of today then it would surely surpass the net value of France, Japan by the year 2020, and would become a superpower by year 2025 and India Economy would be third largest economy of world . world would be goverened by three economies of US, China and India, by the year 2035 india economy would surpass the economies of Germany, UK and indian rupee would be used for transactions all over the world.

US market is now dependent on the imports from asian countries like china and India and the volumes of Import from India and China are on a steady rise from the past couple of years. However India economy is still net an importer economy i.e. the imports are still more then the exports but the scenario is soon going to change and India would ultimately become an export economy in coming 10 years. Boom in India Economy is clear from the amount of Foreign Direct Investments being made in India by none other then companies of US since they want higher profits for their further expansions which are not possible while carrying their businesses in US as the profit percentages in US are on a decrease and future looks no better. So these companies have shown their tremandous interest in India and India Economy which is hence on a boom.

India does not have resources of it's own and hence for development it is using the Foreign Direct Investments for it's growth conservatively which is clear as the indian rupee is getting firm day by day . Foreign players have shown tremendous interest in Indian Stock Markets and both of the indian stock exchanges The Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange have already crossed the magical mark of 20,000 and 6,000 respectively and are still showing promising signs.

Government of India has also taken promising steps for bringing in more foreign currency to India as investment . The Incredible India campaign is an example and government has many plans to attract foreign tourists on Indian Festivals by providing certain package to the tourists.

Indian rupee as new Global Economy

Hi Everyone!
Post your views about when can you see Indian Rupee as new global economy as powerful as the US dollar which is presently the strongest economy in the world. Indian economy is growing and hence it has very bright future prospects. HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT IT????
There are various questions which need to be answered for making indian rupee achieve this feat.
some of them are:

1. What should be done for increasing the growth percent of economy at the same pace as China is growing??

2. What can India learn from the chineese economy and the policies of government there ?

3. Can Indian government policies achieve economy growth of over 11%??

There are several steps that Indian government need to take such as making strict rules as the government of China has made for using the huge man power in right proportion as required by different industry sectors. India is lacking this very ingredient as government is not able to divide the man power required by different industry sectors in right proportion hence there is surplus man power available in one sector but scarcity in another sector. India is boasting of itself majorly on services sector which i think is a superficial sector and is more or less governed by growth of manufacturing sectors so more emphasis should be made on the Hard core manufacturing sectors like automobile,steel, heavy machinary industry etc which determines the right growth of the country.
So basically i want to say is that the man power should be rightly divided in correcr proportion so that the saying "INDIA IS LAND OF 1 BILLION + OPPURTUNITIES" is felt as correct saying.

IF U HAVE SUGGESTIONS FOR THIS TOPIC DO POST YOUR COMMENTS !!

like SHOULD INDIA CHANGE IT'S ECONOMY MODEL SIMILAR TO THAT OF CHINA???
not fully but to some extent as possible.

one thimg is sure that growth of country is governed by growth in manufacturing sector rather than growth in services sector....

so what are you waiting for!!! Start posting your comments and let people know about your views and suggesions about the same!

Thanks,
Himanshu