Finance Ministry confident of meeting fiscal deficit of 6.8 percent

In July, the government projected the fiscal deficit for 2009/10 (April-March) to be 6.8 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP), a 16-year high, to be funded by a record high market borrowing of 4.51 trillion rupees ($93 billion). However, rain deficit in the June-September monsoon season, is feared to impact crops including rice and sugar and has already sent food prices higher by over 10 percent from the previous year.

"I don't think there is any reason to think that the 6.8 per cent will be crossed," Montek Singh Ahluwalia, deputy chairman of India's Planning Commission, told reporters. Farm Minister Sharad Pawar said food subsidy would top 600 billion rupees this year, about 15 percent higher than what was estimated last month. Economists estimate India's drought relief measures could push up fiscal deficit by $4 billion, or 0.5 percentage points.

Indian Prime minister is having a meeting scheduled for september 1 with economists and planning commision officials to review current economic scenario and after the meeting we might hear some updates about the fiscal deficit

Fiscal deficit reaches alarming high at 6.8 percent of GDP

Indian economy's fiscal deficit is projected to widen to an 18-year high of 6.8 per cent of GDP in the current fiscal as the government continues to provide stimulus to the economy, necessitating higher market borrowings at around Rs 4 lakh crore.

Also read -
Union Budget 2009-10 highlights

With states also allowed to borrow from markets even if their fiscal deficit increases to 4 per cent of their GDP against the current limit of 3.5 per cent, the combined fiscal deficit of India will easily touch the double-digit mark.

However, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee committed to return to fiscal consolidation part at the earliest, even as the 13th Finance Commission is seized of the issue of setting up new targets for fiscal deficit.

"I intend to... return to the FRBM target for fiscal deficit at the earliest and as soon as the negative effects of the global crisis on the Indian economy have been overcome," he said.

Analysts noted that fiscal deficit at 6.8 per cent is within the expectation and they will wait for the Finance Commission report likely in October to comment further.

Also read -
Union Budget 2009-10 highlights

Fiscal deficit is projected to widen against 5.5 per cent expected in the Interim Budget for 2009-10 and 6.2 per cent witnessed in 2008-09 as the Centre's expenditure expanded to an all-time high of over Rs 10 lakh crore and tax income taking a hit due to stimulus packages.

India's Fiscal Deficit increasing further Condition Alarming

Our Country's current fiscal deficit situation is not comfortable, a top economic adviser said on Monday, while adding the economy was expected to grow at least 7 percent in the 2009/10 fiscal year.

"The fiscal deficit situation is not comfortable. It is important to go back to a comfortable fiscal situation as and when the economy starts improving," Suresh Tendulkar, chairman of Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council, told a conference.

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"The FRBM Act is not going to be followed this year," he said referring to the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act. Tendulkar also said lower interest rates were likely to come into play, but he did not elaborate.

Tendulkar said fiscal and monetary packages were infusing liquidity and would stimulate the economy. "The lagged effect of the stimulus packages are likely to take effect in the last quarter of this fiscal."

posted under - Indian Economy Updates, Economy of India, Indian Economy Blog, Indian Economy updates, Fiscal Deficit, Indian Fiscal Deficit
source - REUTERS