Indian Economy to grow at 7.8 percent in 2009-10

India's economy will likely grow at 7.8 per cent in fiscal year 2010/11, higher than a previous forecast of 6.6 per cent due to an improved investment outlook, better external environment and a recovery in consumption demand, Goldman Sachs said in a note on Monday.

But it kept its growth estimate for the current year ending March 2010 at 5.8 per cent citing a poor monsoon and the follow-on negative impact on rural demand in the near-term.

Goldman's fiscal year target for wholesale price index-based inflation as of end-FY10 is 6.5 per cent with an upside risk, and expects the central bank to tighten policy rates by 300 basis points in calendar year 2010.